As the 2024 presidential election approaches, polling data reveals a neck-and-neck race between the candidates. However, experts are increasingly skeptical about the accuracy of the polls. Polling mishaps in recent elections, particularly in 2016 and 2020, have caused many to question the reliability of current methods and theories. With polling errors from previous cycles still looming large, the question arises: could 2024’s presidential polls be as wrong as they have been in the past? A Look Back: Polling Inaccuracy in 2016 and 2020 Polls have had a checkered history in recent U.S. elections. In 2016, virtually every major poll predicted Hillary Clinton’s victory. Clinton was widely expected to sweep key battleground states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—states that form the so-called “blue wall.” Yet, in a stunning upset, Donald Trump won all three states and clinched the presidency. The glaring error left many wondering how the polls had been so wrong. Fast forwa...